Сатья Наделла / Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella shared unexpectedly tough and practical thoughts on the development of artificial intelligence. The Microsoft CEO believes it is necessary to check with reality.
During the conversation at Dwarkesh Podcast Nadella, whose company has invested billions of dollars in OpenAI with its ChatGPT, complained about the hype around AI. In particular, he touched on the topic of AGI (general artificial intelligence).
«We claim a certain milestone [AGI] ourselves, for me it’s just a meaningless test hack», — says Nadella.
Instead of the euphoria surrounding AI technologies, he suggests checking whether they generate any value in the real world, rather than blindly following beautiful fantasy ideas. If artificial intelligence truly has economic potential, it will become clear when it starts generating measurable value.
«The first thing we all have to do is, when we say it’s like an industrial revolution, is to get growth out of that industrial revolution. The real benchmark is 10% global growth. When productivity is significantly higher and the economy is growing rapidly. When that happens, it will be a good industry».
From these words, we can understand that Satya Nadella does not yet see such growth. Existing AI technologies allow performing some functions, but it is not yet possible to talk about any revolutionary changes or even rapid growth. So far, only developers of hardware and software for AI are growing most actively, not the industries where it can supposedly lead to a breakthrough.
Hype around the Chinese DeepSeek has demonstrated that the industry would be thrilled with cheaper AI. Higher costs have not yet led to much higher profits, i.e., the value creation that Nadella talks about.
Source: Futurism